Monday, May 15, 2017

Chris Urmson Reflects On Challenges of Driverless Cars

Chris Urmson reflects on challenges, no-win scenarios and timing of driverless cars is a summary of six important points (written by Chuka Mui in Forbes) that summarize the current state of the art and the future likely path of driverless technology.
  1. There is a lot more chaos on the road than most recognize.
  2. Human intent is the fundamental challenge for driverless cars.
  3. Incremental driver assistance systems will not evolve into driverless cars.
  4. Don’t let the “Trolley Car Problem” [ethics] make the perfect into the enemy of the great.
  5. The “mad rush” is justified.
  6. Deployment will happen “relatively quickly.”
Most articles that cover Transportation as a Service or TaaS including this neglect to address the environmental trade-off... much less need for parking, but much higher VMT and energy use.

Death spiral for cars. By 2030, you probably won’t own one shows possible trends in costs and adoptions, but I think that it is way off the mark.